JAKARTA
- The Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) said Indonesia's economy will grow
positively in the next three quarters, RBS projected that Indonesia's
economic growth in 2013 will be in the range of 6.5%.
Southeast
Asia RBS economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja describes domestic consumption
and investment is still a main foundation of the Indonesian economy, but
he saw something else that will make the Indonesian economy is growing
export recovery in the second half.
"We
predict that the Indonesian economy will increase when compared to last
year, the Indonesian economy in 2013 will be in the range of 6.5% up 3%
from 2012 of 6.2%," he said in the "Media Briefing Regarding Projected
RBS Economy in 2013 "at Hotel Dharmawangsa, Jakarta, Thursday (18/4)
Enrico
assess export performance in the second half of this year was due to
the improvement of the economy of the United States even though European
countries still recovering. He
explained what the United States government with either the fiscal
cliff and reduce unemployment at least give effect to the recovery of
their economies so that he believes the U.S. economy is improving it's
economy Asian countries also improved.
According to him this is the moment that must be utilized in Asian countries including Indonesia to improve export performance.
He
said the Indonesian leading sectors such as coal, palm oil and
petroleum prices will likely go up in the second half so he is
optimistic that with the improved export performance affect Indonesia's
economic growth this year.
"Compared
to last year's rise in commodity prices could reach 3% -4%, and this is
a positive signal for the economy as well as to an increase in
exports," he said
In
addition, he said the government plans to implement the dual price for
premium fuel type (4500 for public vehicle / motorcycle) and (6500 for
private cars) would affect inflation.
He said inflation was under control and up 1% of the range of normal inflation of 4% -5%. Enrico
assess different if the government raised fuel prices on all types of
vehicles as it did in 2008, he said that if the government does it,
inflation will exceed the economic growth of 8% -9%.
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